PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

You can bet on that

0x6849bd25053a32c21fe5424aeb374f53323058c8

Realised P&L
$-136.92
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$35.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5160.505$15.15$0.33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? · Yes0.8500.969$14.53+$1.78
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1400.085$6.07$3.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$15.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.0420.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up0.0870.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down0.0410.000$0.00$75.00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? · Up0.1300.000$0.00$14.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 11:042026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1399999888$10.00
07-22 11:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.0299999988$25.00
07-22 11:27Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.0699999974$25.00
07-22 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.0202420955$25.00
07-22 11:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.07144286$25.00
07-22 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.0981399765$25.00
07-22 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.075648049$25.00
07-22 11:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.1025361825$25.00
07-22 10:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.2899999936$25.00
07-22 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.7599999976$25.00
07-22 10:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.43$15.05
07-22 10:24Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22?BUY0.13$14.04
07-22 10:23Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.516$15.48
07-22 10:22US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?BUY0.67$13.40
07-22 10:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.55$16.49