PolyBot

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Traders

You can bet on that

0x6849bd25053a32c21fe5424aeb374f53323058c8

Realised P&L
$-121.31
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$101.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.5500.835$25.04+$8.55
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? · Yes0.6701.000$20.00+$6.60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.520$18.20+$3.15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5160.520$15.60+$0.12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? · Yes0.8500.915$13.72+$0.97
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1400.125$8.93$1.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.0420.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up0.0870.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down0.0410.000$0.00$75.00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? · Up0.1300.000$0.00$14.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 11:042026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1399999888$10.00
07-22 11:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.0299999988$25.00
07-22 11:27Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.0699999974$25.00
07-22 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.0202420955$25.00
07-22 11:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.07144286$25.00
07-22 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.0981399765$25.00
07-22 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.075648049$25.00
07-22 11:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.1025361825$25.00
07-22 10:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.2899999936$25.00
07-22 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.7599999976$25.00
07-22 10:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.43$15.05
07-22 10:24Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22?BUY0.13$14.04
07-22 10:23Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.516$15.48
07-22 10:22US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?BUY0.67$13.40
07-22 10:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.55$16.49