archuser
0x68476bdec3789fe4048defb831e43bf861e035a5
- Realised P&L
- $-180.73
- Volume
- $31.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.125 | $3.4k | −$784.27 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.605 | $1.5k | −$387.50 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.565 | 0.595 | $156.99 | +$7.99 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.675 | $4.72 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$957.81at 0.530Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:40 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.41 |
| 09-17 05:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 05:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6 | $99.00 |
| 09-17 05:31 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.9k |
| 09-13 06:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.72 |
| 09-12 17:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 09-12 13:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 13:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $94.80 |
| 09-12 13:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1507585933 | $1.4k |
| 09-11 06:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $4.00 |
| 09-10 19:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 14:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 14:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1595917105 | $1.7k |
| 09-10 08:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.60 |
| 09-08 19:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |