yuyang
0x684592063acf613e2d0d5887256a0c16cb48c125
- Realised P&L
- $21.4k
- Volume
- $2.75M
- Markets traded
- 1,457
- Open portfolio
- $85.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,457
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.078Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?
- +$1.2kat 0.053Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.089Will Trump post less than 80 times on Truth Feb 28 - March 7?
- +$996.01at 0.031US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.0656666667 | $1.97 |
| 08-08 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.0670079681 | $4.04 |
| 08-08 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.87 |
| 08-08 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3762288663 | $21.14 |
| 08-08 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-08 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.86 |
| 08-08 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.80 |
| 08-08 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.50 |
| 08-08 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.03 |
| 08-08 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.48 |
| 08-07 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 08-07 13:21 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 08-07 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.62 |
| 08-07 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $13.79 |
| 08-07 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.72 |