PolyBot

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Traders

0x683727E806A97C679241CAEcED5a47b33f0fe996-1775158711195

0x683727e806a97c679241caeced5a47b33f0fe996

Realised P&L
$132.05
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$16.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3240.925$14.28+$9.28
X banned in any European country by December 31? · Yes0.2300.115$2.50$2.50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00$50.34
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.4240.000$0.00$1.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.4950.000$0.00$2.16
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$2.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$7.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down0.3860.000$0.00$1.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.3860.000$0.00$1.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.4680.000$0.00$1.15
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$12.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$10.00
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:51Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.415$16.60
07-18 22:42Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.1289999902$10.00
07-18 22:18France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.2099999861$10.00
07-15 20:56Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.112499955$2.00
07-15 19:42Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2774999949$37.77
07-14 18:49Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
07-14 18:49Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3024999811$10.00
07-11 22:47Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1574999772$5.00
07-11 22:44Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2225$15.34
07-11 22:37Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2249999848$10.00
07-10 21:00Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2349999937$20.00
07-10 20:56Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.0025$1.00
07-10 20:55Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.005$1.00
07-10 20:52Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.0025$5.00
07-07 17:59Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.0028926815$5.00