0x683727E806A97C679241CAEcED5a47b33f0fe996-1775158711195
0x683727e806a97c679241caeced5a47b33f0fe996
- Realised P&L
- $132.05
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $16.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.97at 0.287Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$76.88at 0.285Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$52.91at 0.090Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$22.71at 0.313Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$16.84at 0.377Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.415 | $16.60 |
| 07-18 22:42 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.1289999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 22:18 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:56 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.112499955 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 19:42 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2774999949 | $37.77 |
| 07-14 18:49 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 18:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3024999811 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 22:47 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1574999772 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:44 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2225 | $15.34 |
| 07-11 22:37 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2249999848 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:00 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2349999937 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 20:56 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.0025 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:55 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:52 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.0025 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 17:59 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.0028926815 | $5.00 |