Jacksongf
0x6832a7f292ab471a744c83b8dd8bcde00de3ce90
- Realised P&L
- $-57.36
- Volume
- $816.29
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $25.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.595 | $11.90 | +$0.70 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.135 | $9.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.075 | $4.49 | −$7.29 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.07 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.17 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of April? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.68 |
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.42 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.61at 0.640Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$6.37at 0.658Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.710Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
- +$0.22at 0.780Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
- +$-2.46at 0.130Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 19:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 19:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 06-25 20:08 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 03:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.916 | $22.90 |
| 06-16 03:23 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.985 | $24.63 |
| 05-19 15:56 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0073475 | $0.15 |
| 05-07 18:27 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.26 |
| 04-15 18:53 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 04-15 18:53 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 04-15 18:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.658 | $16.45 |
| 04-15 18:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.78 |
| 04-15 18:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 04-15 18:38 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 04-15 18:37 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $16.00 |