ninofrassica71
0x682e653db39ac27adab72b43b38ecdcb2febfd07
- Realised P&L
- $-36.95
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $50.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.179 | $17.95 | +$9.10 |
| Will Roma qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.845 | $16.90 | +$6.90 |
| Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.017 | $11.54 | +$3.62 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.030 | $3.05 | −$2.05 |
| Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$0.30 |
| Will Brayden Burries win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.07 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.60at 0.180Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.11at 0.063Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
- +$19.50at 0.350Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$9.25at 0.537Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
- +$7.20at 0.760Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 09:06 | Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 08-31 12:20 | Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-25 12:03 | Will Roma qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 09:51 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 07-21 16:08 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.15 | $8.25 |
| 07-14 11:34 | Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.94 |
| 07-14 11:33 | Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-06 11:01 | Will Endrick win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0039231923 | $0.39 |
| 06-16 15:22 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.37 |
| 06-15 15:36 | Fabián Ruiz: 3+ shots | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 06-15 10:13 | Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.01 |
| 06-13 22:31 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.69 |
| 06-13 17:26 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 06-06 14:39 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 06-06 11:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |