alexxshadow
0x682db673b4c2aa6eeab6cd8d405058cf410aa7c0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $93.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.096 | $93.66 | −$6.34 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.294 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Maduro out in 2025? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will CZ return to Binance by December 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.41at 0.980Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$-300.00at 0.040Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 12:01 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 12:01 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.2239360361 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 11:30 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.1019694091 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 16:35 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.3077625644 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 16:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2897392343 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 14:57 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 14:55 | Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | BUY | 0.1183426108 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 14:54 | Will CZ return to Binance by December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-27 14:54 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.2697227219 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 23:03 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | BUY | 0.04 | $300.00 |
| 10-08 23:01 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |