PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6829efd7a2489a978d0ae43a6493287d18c8ec4c

Realised P&L
$36.24
Volume
$570.27
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$123.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.6000.815$123.35+$32.54
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 11:56Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.69$67.03
06-25 11:56Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$5.82
06-24 19:38OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.48$23.55
06-24 19:38OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.48$23.92
06-15 14:28Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999985$71.72
06-15 14:15OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.4335079925$42.87
06-15 07:41Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.6$90.81
06-13 14:42Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$2.04