xqsbtc
0x6826a30ccca6ea9b5131cf29d87a8d09c36f79e3
- Realised P&L
- $-0.05
- Volume
- $44.5k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $215.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 7? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.999 | $215.11 | +$0.11 |
| Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale? · No | 0.811 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.79at 0.905Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 5?
- +$3.84at 0.982Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?
- +$3.52at 0.983Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?
- +$3.51at 0.740OpenAI browser by October 31?
- +$3.50at 0.720US government shutdown in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $215.00 |
| 10-05 20:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6? | BUY | 0.9989999964 | $215.00 |
| 10-04 20:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9942312889 | $214.00 |
| 09-30 17:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9892767078 | $212.00 |
| 09-29 18:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9976002372 | $211.00 |
| 09-28 17:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9989763239 | $211.00 |
| 09-25 17:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $211.00 |
| 09-24 18:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $211.00 |
| 09-23 19:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 24? | BUY | 0.996 | $210.00 |
| 09-22 17:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $209.00 |
| 09-21 17:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22? | BUY | 0.9979999985 | $209.00 |
| 09-20 18:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.997 | $208.00 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $208.00 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9976258894 | $208.00 |
| 09-16 17:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $207.00 |