0x6822bc54f2c1b939eb71636cd76f609e8fa61d18
0x6822bc54f2c1b939eb71636cd76f609e8fa61d18
- Realised P&L
- $-84.72
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $2.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.885 | $1.18 | +$0.10 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.790 | $0.97 | −$0.12 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.085 | $0.66 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.200US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$18.37at 0.482Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)
- +$13.48at 0.796Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?
- +$12.03at 0.415Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
- +$7.18at 0.660Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 22:12 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999175 | $1.08 |
| 09-17 11:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999961 | $1.01 |
| 09-11 23:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.88 |
| 09-11 23:41 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999053 | $1.09 |
| 09-11 23:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.01 |
| 09-11 22:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.01 |
| 09-11 22:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.61 |
| 09-11 22:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.18 |
| 09-11 20:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.02 |
| 09-10 08:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.03 |
| 09-10 07:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.02 |
| 08-29 02:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999796 | $1.06 |
| 08-27 04:43 | Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson | SELL | 0.51 | $0.68 |
| 08-27 04:43 | Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson | SELL | 0.52 | $0.01 |
| 08-27 04:43 | Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson | SELL | 0.52 | $0.05 |