gno3om
0x681fbb8cad5900496432ba199d78d3f299c53d92
- Realised P&L
- $2.55
- Volume
- $251.62
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.989Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13?
- +$0.41at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 14?
- +$0.40at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 14?
- +$0.36at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 12?
- +$0.33at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 15°C or higher on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 10-14 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 10-13 08:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.9896447175 | $36.63 |