forest2123
0x681e7dad93d50e763b637fac434f3f878e1b5394
- Realised P&L
- $78.94
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $50.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.180 | $19.49 | −$3.51 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.230 | $12.11 | +$2.11 |
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.048 | $11.86 | −$29.14 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.080 | $4.18 | −$5.82 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.018 | $2.48 | −$8.52 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.94at 0.172Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$75.24at 0.210Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
- +$49.45at 0.209Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.47at 0.388Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
- +$23.18at 0.296Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 20:37 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2124140477 | $23.00 |
| 09-07 15:24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | SELL | 0.905 | $34.69 |
| 08-20 15:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.279999972 | $6.00 |
| 08-14 20:24 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 19:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 18:59 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3248945031 | $11.00 |
| 08-14 18:54 | Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.1575516474 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 16:27 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1689999828 | $8.00 |
| 05-11 16:17 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1769999859 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 16:16 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.078999993 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 16:15 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 16:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 16:08 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.635 | $1.99 |
| 05-11 16:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.034 | $3.92 |
| 05-11 16:07 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $11.99 |