juansiur
0x681b945098852512040531ac4eb86d2ced62f678
- Realised P&L
- $-16.67
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $8.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.840 | 0.875 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.982 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.01 |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals · Los Angeles Angels | 0.712 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.87 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.627 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.26 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres · Seattle Mariners | 0.521 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.24 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? · Yes | 0.614 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs · FaZe Clan | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-22? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.69at 0.531UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$6.24at 0.587Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$6.12at 0.716Suns vs. Thunder
- +$5.79at 0.600Bulls vs. Wizards
- +$4.90at 0.631Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:29 | Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 13:24 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 04:13 | SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 04:10 | Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 04:04 | Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 04:02 | Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 03:12 | Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 20:55 | Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 20:55 | Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 23:52 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 23:40 | Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 23:59 | CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 23:58 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 00:25 | CF América vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 16:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6949999736 | $5.00 |