0x681769f5b0d5e2ff562502265a089940991fbff3
0x681769f5b0d5e2ff562502265a089940991fbff3
- Realised P&L
- $-6.55
- Volume
- $97.64
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.655 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.345 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.02at 0.389Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
- +$1.39at 0.480Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.14at 0.530SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.14at 0.530Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:52 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:56 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:05 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:23 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:21 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.26 |
| 09-23 07:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.26 |
| 09-20 21:33 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998359 | $1.26 |
| 09-19 07:41 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.26 |
| 09-18 02:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5199999835 | $1.26 |
| 09-17 17:42 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.26 |
| 09-17 04:37 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999022 | $1.26 |