2039fren
0x680c26762cd639cbb1d1802996ee13e40090d0cc
- Realised P&L
- $-76.17
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $291.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.420 | $291.16 | −$13.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.06at 0.532Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?
- +$0.51at 0.983Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?
- +$-0.02at 0.993Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.02at 0.994Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
- +$-0.03at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:22 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.43 | $17.72 |
| 09-17 13:51 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.44 | $323.15 |
| 09-14 16:48 | Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08? | SELL | 0.51 | $8.65 |
| 09-14 16:16 | Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.52 | $294.29 |
| 09-11 06:11 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.44 | $27.28 |
| 09-11 05:30 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.45 | $332.14 |
| 06-18 15:24 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $66.26 |
| 06-18 15:16 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $39.85 |
| 06-18 15:09 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.994 | $40.73 |
| 06-18 15:04 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.04 |
| 06-18 14:57 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.994 | $25.60 |
| 06-18 14:50 | Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.997 | $15.06 |
| 06-18 14:40 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.86 |
| 06-18 14:34 | Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.997 | $11.01 |
| 06-18 14:26 | Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.10 |