.perfect
0x6809e7f37d2f5aedb20ccebd2a129604a06a6d90
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $38.2k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.435 | $2.2k | −$923.98 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.305 | $147.54 | +$2.42 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 6m? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.049 | $147.00 | −$432.98 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Karmine Corp | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$228.00 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner · JD Gaming | 0.243 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.00at 0.327LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner
- +$316.00at 0.629LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
- +$287.99at 0.640Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$213.00at 0.414LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$171.87at 0.150LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 09:38 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.14 | $10.92 |
| 09-18 09:32 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $240.00 |
| 07-05 07:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1471452 | $73.57 |
| 07-05 06:00 | Games Total: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.24 | $14.16 |
| 07-04 09:45 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.54 | $216.00 |
| 07-02 22:21 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 07-02 22:20 | Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 07-02 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 07-01 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 07-01 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 07-01 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 07-01 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.4341 | $173.64 |
| 07-01 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 07-01 00:19 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4 | $80.00 |
| 06-30 19:07 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |