0x67Fbe71E9ec1F44eC893bdF111608f0b4604788F-1776578479654
0x67fbe71e9ec1f44ec893bdf111608f0b4604788f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $60.1k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $63.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.60at 0.013Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.25at 0.040Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
- +$-0.15at 0.010Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-2.50at 0.200Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
- +$-6.87at 0.047Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 07:18 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.02 | $179.45 |
| 05-11 03:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.15547868 | $1.0k |
| 05-02 05:01 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 05-02 04:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | SELL | 0.0367636965 | $14.68 |
| 05-02 04:59 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 12:53 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 05-01 12:53 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0146381985 | $3.13 |
| 05-01 12:53 | Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.0056679975 | $1.45 |
| 05-01 12:52 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0048803652 | $1.61 |
| 05-01 12:52 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5? | SELL | 0.0017982757 | $0.23 |
| 04-30 05:38 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.015 | $5.77 |
| 04-30 05:34 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.041012 | $10.25 |
| 04-28 08:04 | Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.023032616 | $26.00 |
| 04-28 08:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0541269314 | $200.00 |
| 04-28 07:51 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY | 0.08 | $126.00 |