JustinMurray8742
0x67f2764adb971bb90bc05868f60db689b8196a72
- Realised P&L
- $179.40
- Volume
- $193.9k
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$372.12at 0.160Will Leavitt say "Obamacare" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$291.60at 0.440Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
- +$275.93at 0.270Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$270.16at 0.290Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$216.48at 0.280Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 18:02 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.766 | $757.57 |
| 04-13 16:32 | Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $1.3k |
| 04-11 16:59 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.6 | $363.00 |
| 04-11 16:57 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.6 | $33.60 |
| 04-11 16:56 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.6 | $41.40 |
| 04-11 10:12 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $71.61 |
| 04-10 21:07 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $73.78 |
| 04-10 17:23 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.69 | $503.70 |
| 04-09 23:31 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | SELL | 0.07 | $28.01 |
| 04-09 23:30 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | SELL | 0.07 | $12.74 |
| 04-09 22:15 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.58 | $179.22 |
| 04-09 09:26 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.58 | $205.90 |
| 04-09 09:25 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.58 | $181.54 |
| 04-08 17:29 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? | BUY | 0.79 | $33.97 |
| 04-07 22:40 | Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $182.78 |