0x67edd8229c2434A72ADD79fdA6F0e3b0910700d6-1771187047709
0x67edd8229c2434a72add79fda6f0e3b0910700d6
- Realised P&L
- $-235.10
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.065 | $6.63 | −$30.37 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? · Up | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24? · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.30 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.13at 0.613Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$16.79at 0.570Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$11.73at 0.651NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 23?
- +$-28.08at 0.114Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 22:16 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? | BUY | 0.3626192238 | $37.00 |
| 04-15 22:15 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.986 | $39.79 |
| 03-23 14:09 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | BUY | 0.3823887098 | $14.00 |
| 03-23 14:07 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 14:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 03-23 14:03 | Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9829305641 | $64.13 |
| 03-20 07:20 | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? | BUY | 0.197081227 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 07:16 | Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6130995591 | $40.00 |
| 02-24 15:57 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.5699999921 | $23.00 |
| 02-24 15:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 23:09 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 23? | BUY | 0.6513789311 | $21.92 |
| 02-20 22:57 | Will Solana dip to $60 in February? | SELL | 0.0500985716 | $21.92 |
| 02-20 08:47 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1699999933 | $17.30 |
| 02-20 08:45 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 02-20 08:45 | Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |