PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x67edd8229c2434A72ADD79fdA6F0e3b0910700d6-1771187047709

0x67edd8229c2434a72add79fda6f0e3b0910700d6

Realised P&L
$-235.10
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$6.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · Yes0.3630.065$6.63$30.37
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? · Up0.5130.000$0.00$48.00
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8300.000$0.00$50.00
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$10.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24? · Down0.1800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00$14.00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$20.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$40.00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$17.30
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 22:16Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?BUY0.3626192238$37.00
04-15 22:15Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.986$39.79
03-23 14:09Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?BUY0.3823887098$14.00
03-23 14:07Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
03-23 14:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.4$40.00
03-23 14:03Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?SELL0.9829305641$64.13
03-20 07:20U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?BUY0.197081227$10.00
03-20 07:16Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?BUY0.6130995591$40.00
02-24 15:57Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.5699999921$23.00
02-24 15:56S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?BUY0.179999987$10.00
02-20 23:09NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 23?BUY0.6513789311$21.92
02-20 22:57Will Solana dip to $60 in February?SELL0.0500985716$21.92
02-20 08:47Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1699999933$17.30
02-20 08:45Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
02-20 08:45Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.011$10.00