0x67d05678B89f84F7432A4c8408143135c9b1Db7A-1768931658497
0x67d05678b89f84f7432a4c8408143135c9b1db7a
- Realised P&L
- $8.4k
- Volume
- $7.85M
- Markets traded
- 432
- Open portfolio
- $473.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded432
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.232 | $271.33 | +$87.01 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $202.22 | +$5.19 |
| Will Trump say "KFC" or "Chicken" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.29 |
| Will Isaias peak at Category 4? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.29 |
| Manchester City punishment announced by October 9? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.032US forces enter Iran by March 14?
- +$1.7kat 0.735Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.017US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.012Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
- +$1.2kat 0.442US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 19:54 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $31.79 |
| 10-18 08:01 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $197.03 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $15.95 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.134 | $16.08 |
| 10-17 21:59 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $64.61 |
| 10-17 21:56 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.162 | $7.29 |
| 10-17 21:52 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $313.50 |
| 10-17 20:52 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.199 | $1.99 |
| 10-17 19:16 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1404311274 | $13.03 |
| 10-17 19:16 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.134 | $24.52 |
| 10-17 18:58 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.128 | $0.64 |
| 10-17 18:51 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.91 |
| 10-17 18:51 | Will Trump say "KFC" or "Chicken" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.67 |
| 10-17 18:49 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.127 | $1.27 |
| 10-17 18:44 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |