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0x67d00c9f3b3b631a4084205fcdc4512b7631cd9a
- Realised P&L
- $-653.41
- Volume
- $29.7k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $319.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.667 | 0.700 | $319.06 | +$14.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.99at 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?
- +$135.87at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?
- +$125.48at 0.263Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$118.73at 0.198Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
- +$113.10at 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 01:19 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.667 | $40.02 |
| 09-07 01:19 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6673333333 | $200.20 |
| 09-03 00:55 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.664 | $36.32 |
| 08-31 03:37 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $37.81 |
| 08-24 08:33 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 08-20 12:13 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9539602117 | $239.76 |
| 08-14 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.978776686 | $43.83 |
| 08-07 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $39.06 |
| 08-07 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.25 |
| 08-05 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $39.05 |
| 08-05 12:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-04 12:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3495643479 | $32.51 |
| 08-04 12:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6403930131 | $58.66 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $19.58 |
| 07-29 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $51.81 |