0x67CB0C385cA6671932C9Fb68350C105266fbC642-1782038330887
0x67cb0c385ca6671932c9fb68350c105266fbc642
- Realised P&L
- $51.18
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $31.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.140 | 0.155 | $21.97 | +$2.13 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.120 | $9.04 | −$8.29 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.84 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.568 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.90 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.06 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.93at 0.082Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$33.89at 0.165Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$2.93at 0.757Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.65at 0.104Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:55 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999972 | $17.33 |
| 10-14 20:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $19.84 |
| 10-08 09:01 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5678203218 | $11.90 |
| 09-30 20:07 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.11 |
| 09-29 08:30 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.09 |
| 09-28 17:00 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $9.00 |
| 09-12 08:23 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.00 |
| 09-03 19:43 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $56.71 |
| 09-03 15:12 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789632829 | $4.57 |
| 09-02 08:45 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $44.44 |
| 09-01 18:29 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.74 |
| 06-24 07:40 | GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0468075621 | $4.84 |
| 06-23 22:32 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.007569055 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 13:22 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0680716168 | $7.06 |
| 06-21 11:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0195928622 | $7.00 |