PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x67C9e6920cedb43c08AB813dD53b670ea3b7aE89-1772323615248

0x67c9e6920cedb43c08ab813dd53b670ea3b7ae89

Realised P&L
$-16.27
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$1.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes0.2230.065$0.82$2.00
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%? · Yes0.0140.002$0.11$0.89
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0110.001$0.09$1.91
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3? · No0.0360.000$0.00$10.47
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.00
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1? · No0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March? · No0.2400.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7? · No0.2780.000$0.00$6.00
Will France strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$1.00
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in March? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 22:43Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-23?BUY0.5$4.85
04-23 20:50Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
04-23 20:49Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$1.00
04-23 20:49Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
04-15 10:32Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0859999286$1.00
04-15 10:32Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0859999286$1.00
04-15 10:31Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.914$1.99
04-09 00:36Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9149999908$2.00
04-08 16:17Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?BUY0.0169544736$1.49
04-07 23:51Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?SELL0.9$12.49
04-04 09:38Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?BUY0.359999977$5.00
04-04 09:37Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?BUY0.0519999662$1.41
04-03 14:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7?BUY0.0431372552$0.86
04-03 14:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?BUY0.005$0.86
04-03 14:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?BUY0.01$0.86