BetoCuas11
0x679cd907c54313064aad0c38288209a75ea4bece
- Realised P&L
- $14.90
- Volume
- $26.8k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $91.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.31at 0.300Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$62.19at 0.139Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$50.94at 0.600Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
- +$32.75at 0.339U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$32.65at 0.032Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 04:25 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.3431251953 | $54.90 |
| 10-09 08:35 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.79 |
| 10-09 08:32 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.278 | $13.90 |
| 10-05 04:51 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.0546223 | $5.46 |
| 10-04 22:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 22:58 | Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 22:55 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.1161415833 | $13.94 |
| 09-27 12:49 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.1505634596 | $10.69 |
| 09-25 15:35 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 09-21 04:58 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-18 05:05 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 09-17 19:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 09-17 19:19 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | SELL | 0.348607 | $34.86 |
| 09-17 01:19 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 09-12 03:01 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $27.00 |