brent96
0x6794a4ff25f99e9bd9e2befb896594544f01ea6b
- Realised P&L
- $-93.72
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $12.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000? · No | 0.710 | 0.610 | $12.20 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.722Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$0.25at 0.985Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?
- +$0.25at 0.956Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$0.22at 0.990Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?
- +$0.22at 0.650Solana above $225 on December 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:43 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.89 |
| 01-30 16:50 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.17 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.84 |
| 01-30 12:24 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.36 |
| 01-30 12:13 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.86 |
| 12-30 11:51 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.40 |
| 12-30 10:28 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.81 |
| 12-30 09:50 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.98 |
| 12-30 08:47 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.30 |
| 12-30 00:47 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.27 |
| 12-29 18:54 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.59 |
| 10-31 01:01 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9936392599 | $24.68 |
| 10-30 23:28 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.84 |
| 10-30 19:04 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $21.98 |
| 09-29 11:10 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.19 |