0x679165efb64f50b6bad7bf84fbe8e4b271427d04
- Realised P&L
- $-59.21
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $51.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.981 | $41.21 | +$0.78 |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.009 | $6.83 | −$33.60 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.039 | $3.90 | −$12.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.33at 0.750Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.98at 0.890Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
- +$1.40at 0.958Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- +$-9.00at 0.220Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- +$-16.00at 0.185Will Anthony Hernandez win by KO or TKO?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 20:55 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999997 | $40.43 |
| 03-31 00:58 | Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.0503124615 | $40.43 |
| 02-28 00:23 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.957999999 | $16.00 |
| 02-27 23:50 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.957999999 | $16.00 |
| 02-26 19:30 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999858 | $9.00 |
| 02-20 21:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 02-20 21:32 | Will Anthony Hernandez win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.185140065 | $16.00 |
| 02-18 19:27 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.00 |
| 02-16 21:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | BUY | 0.8899999983 | $16.00 |