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Traders

sikaba

0x6790790e4fc8168ffcb16c8215bbcd77beab07cf

Realised P&L
$-419.59
Volume
$26.2k
Markets traded
1,333
Open portfolio
$6.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,333
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? · Yes0.7000.615$4.34−$0.60
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1500.085$1.27−$0.97
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.877$1.05+$0.45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.122$0.15−$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:22Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.57$4.83
10-29 07:25Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?SELL0.55$4.64
10-28 07:28Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$4.83
10-28 07:28Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.58$4.89
10-26 00:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.03
10-25 23:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.055$1.57
10-20 21:48Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?SELL0.56$0.65
10-20 16:31Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?SELL0.56$2.15
10-19 04:20Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?BUY0.1$4.17
10-19 04:20Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?BUY0.1$4.17
10-18 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?BUY0.53$4.82
10-18 16:01Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?SELL0.999$34.07
10-18 05:25Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.28$4.70
10-18 05:24Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.26$4.50
10-18 05:24Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?SELL0.942$6.87
Trader sikaba · PolyBot Pro