PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ChonchoVilla

0x6785405533b87db3524126511ab7456036a022e8

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$139.7k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$3.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-06 20:41Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?SELL0.3$54.60
04-03 21:41Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
04-03 19:05Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.123$22.14
04-03 14:39Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.0806236559$7.50
04-03 14:35Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.0282326782$13.01
04-03 14:34Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.015$2.23
04-03 14:24Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.0148890852$37.25
04-03 14:23SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?SELL0.0333466532$83.03
04-03 13:29Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.02$5.80
04-03 13:29Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.0185912495$0.94
04-03 13:27Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?SELL0.037$5.06
04-03 13:26Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?SELL0.051$1.30
04-03 07:07Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?BUY0.0295427312$27.47
04-02 16:42S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?SELL0.43$2.15
04-02 16:40S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?BUY0.47$2.35