lovegj
0x67667086b3bd6cdf93685902340cf28b0a85ace2
- Realised P&L
- $15.41
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $121.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.975 | $121.88 | +$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.56at 0.986Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$1.47at 0.996Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$1.16at 0.956Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$0.68at 0.989Will Netflix reach $455 in March?
- +$0.64at 0.994US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 00:53 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $121.25 |
| 08-13 01:02 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $119.25 |
| 07-18 00:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $96.71 |
| 07-17 01:02 | Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $96.81 |
| 06-28 01:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $118.76 |
| 06-28 01:08 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $118.76 |
| 06-08 01:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $118.17 |
| 06-08 01:04 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.993 | $118.18 |
| 05-09 08:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $116.65 |
| 04-25 01:06 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $112.71 |
| 04-25 01:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $112.77 |
| 04-11 08:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $112.55 |
| 04-01 08:22 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.89 |
| 03-30 12:43 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.89 |
| 03-30 12:43 | Trump out as President by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $112.89 |