0x6764897024b2CE7EeCF95B5Eab07BfFe2e1549C4-1775738972260
0x6764897024b2ce7eecf95b5eab07bffe2e1549c4
- Realised P&L
- $439.27
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $26.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.4kat 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.8kat 0.668Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.4kat 0.678Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$7.5kat 0.700Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$5.8kat 0.776Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 18:45 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3694452771 | $333.00 |
| 10-21 18:45 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3652175055 | $14.0k |
| 10-21 18:45 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 08:30 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3649024032 | $10.9k |
| 10-10 06:04 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $14.6k |
| 09-21 17:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6169730228 | $19.9k |
| 09-21 17:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.630465058 | $1.7k |
| 06-30 18:18 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4523110222 | $549.43 |
| 06-30 18:18 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4213614845 | $9.2k |
| 06-20 11:54 | Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7708231534 | $19.8k |
| 06-14 09:26 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6615033915 | $29.6k |
| 06-13 18:27 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.83 | $10.0k |
| 06-12 18:40 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.7k |
| 06-11 21:11 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.3k |
| 06-11 18:45 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.69 | $9.9k |