0x6762b26340ad126beab5ca3f1651bec7c1eb0632
0x6762b26340ad126beab5ca3f1651bec7c1eb0632
- Realised P&L
- $2.02
- Volume
- $240.62
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $7.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.825 | $2.95 | +$1.95 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.967 | $1.79 | +$0.79 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21? · Up | 0.710 | 0.740 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? · Up | 0.750 | 0.740 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.615 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.033 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.70at 0.270Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$2.10at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 11:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 03:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 04:05 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 11:51 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 00:07 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:52 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 06:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 08:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:00 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 23:47 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 11:27 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 02:49 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 16:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 08:50 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |