0x675F16C44941C79d7f5431D18E0E94230693F9eA-1778748781090
0x675f16c44941c79d7f5431d18e0e94230693f9ea
- Realised P&L
- $115.30
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $811.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.844 | 0.966 | $811.30 | +$101.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.418 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.32 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.99at 0.165Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$145.96at 0.747Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
- +$70.55at 0.129Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$14.24at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$13.47at 0.903Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:31 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.7799999907 | $10.02 |
| 09-16 13:10 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.9399999993 | $250.00 |
| 09-16 13:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1179106237 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 13:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 13:02 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.9399999946 | $150.00 |
| 09-08 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $1.89 |
| 09-08 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $23.86 |
| 09-02 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999887 | $25.00 |
| 09-02 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |