0x675ce0061ffd83e15e3297cfed51664f0ea8ae71
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $22.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the January meeting? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.235 | $11.98 | −$4.84 |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.455 | $10.06 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.280Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.520Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the January interest rate announcement?
- +$-7.14at 0.320Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?