Topramen
0x675c680b5478e71df340706e4e5ad9b0591d2224
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $241.8k
- Markets traded
- 311
- Open portfolio
- $455.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded311
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.160 | $320.67 | −$96.63 |
| Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.163 | $67.37 | +$42.37 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.183 | $58.32 | +$17.32 |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.019 | $9.12 | −$16.88 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027? · No | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$520.17at 0.063Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$401.95at 0.176Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
- +$162.00at 0.100Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$109.98at 0.421Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
- +$107.60at 0.7462024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 20:04 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.2576561198 | $45.40 |
| 05-16 20:03 | Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999925 | $7.00 |
| 05-16 20:03 | Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0637180188 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 20:03 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999519 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 20:02 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.90 |
| 05-16 20:01 | Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.054425719 | $19.00 |
| 05-16 20:00 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999973 | $39.00 |
| 05-16 20:00 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.2322348103 | $46.00 |
| 05-16 19:59 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.2088260454 | $166.00 |
| 05-16 19:58 | Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0600145555 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 19:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $6.79 |
| 05-16 19:05 | Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999946 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 19:04 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.1885915917 | $150.00 |
| 05-16 19:03 | Glean IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $5.64 |
| 05-16 19:03 | Rippling IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $34.11 |