elayyyyy.1
0x6750a632c8a98a389c0202d90260d9f755a9f2c5
- Realised P&L
- $-69.59
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $6.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.630 | $3.38 | +$0.38 |
| Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.560 | $3.17 | +$0.17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Down | 0.561 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.49at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$4.39at 0.583Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jan Kumstat
- +$4.23at 0.593Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$3.68at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$3.31at 0.383Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 19:38 | Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 41.5 | SELL | 0.19 | $2.62 |
| 10-11 19:00 | Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.809999998 | $8.00 |
| 10-11 10:10 | Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 10:10 | Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 20:37 | Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 20:37 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 20:37 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $4.00 |
| 10-09 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.37 |
| 10-09 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.36 |
| 10-09 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |