hysteria-starter
0x674deede7d816eceb56bbf4062e9490a8921069e
- Realised P&L
- $-19.21
- Volume
- $367.3k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $20.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.001Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
- +$4.00at 0.001Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?
- +$4.00at 0.001Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?
- +$4.00at 0.001Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
- +$4.00at 0.001Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 11:34 | Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 11:33 | Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 22:15 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.51 |
| 06-30 21:43 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 06-16 07:39 | Will Melissa Agard win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 06-03 11:37 | Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 06-02 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 06-02 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |