PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x6747e4adbf393d987f3d280da6b33c1e413c10a4

Realised P&L
$-5.87
Volume
$326.00
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$54.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.5000.912$29.20+$13.20
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8270.925$10.18+$1.07
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7900.935$7.48+$1.16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5000.087$3.85$18.16
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2200.085$3.15$4.99
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.2460.128$0.64$0.59
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2100.075$0.45$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 19:41Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.22$8.14
06-05 06:48Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.86$4.30
04-25 05:53Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.8$4.80
04-25 05:53Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.21$1.26
04-25 05:53Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.16$1.60
04-23 04:13Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.928$5.57
04-23 04:13Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.93$7.44
04-23 04:13Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.79$6.32
04-23 04:13Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.246$1.23
04-19 19:02Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.501$4.51
04-10 05:57Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$7.00
04-10 05:57Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$2.10
04-10 05:57Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?BUY0.06$1.20
04-10 05:57Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?BUY0.941$9.41
03-26 08:02Maduro guilty of all counts?BUY0.32$1.92