0x673a09B463833060Ec73590cd11e409856bDc706-1767551915753
0x673a09b463833060ec73590cd11e409856bdc706
- Realised P&L
- $-5.03
- Volume
- $275.08
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $14.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.068 | $5.06 | −$4.94 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.595 | $4.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.225 | $4.34 | +$0.71 |
| Will Alberta join the US? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.009 | $0.59 | −$4.41 |
| SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? · No | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.71at 0.680Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$0.27at 0.949Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
- +$-5.00at 0.380Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 22:20 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 04-01 20:14 | Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? | BUY | 0.1882397617 | $3.63 |
| 04-01 20:12 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.6699998727 | $5.00 |
| 04-01 20:09 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.072107118 | $5.00 |
| 04-01 20:03 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.9489999973 | $5.00 |
| 04-01 20:02 | SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $4.63 |
| 03-16 14:17 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 14:15 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.134352946 | $10.00 |