0x67332b54be289731434d757629b945814f4cab7b
- Realised P&L
- $6.50
- Volume
- $317.77
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills · Lions | 0.500 | 0.065 | $1.02 | −$6.80 |
| T20 Asian Games, Women: Japan vs India · Japan | 0.500 | 0.006 | $0.60 | −$49.52 |
| Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Dan Ige | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.19 |
| Makai Lemon: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.83 |
| Tetairoa McMillan: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.51 |
| Odell Beckham Jr.: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina · Aryna Sabalenka | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.72 |
| South Africa Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs South Africa Women · Zimbabwe Women | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.31 |
| Bo Nix: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.65 |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo · Luca Castelnuovo | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Kirk Cousins: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.85 |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.39 |
| Alabama vs. Kentucky · Kentucky | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
| New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins · New York Yankees | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.87at 0.500Oregon vs. Oklahoma State
- +$15.64at 0.562Broncos vs. Chiefs
- +$14.28at 0.290Sao Paulo Open: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Astra Sharma
- +$5.29at 0.500Bryce Young: Anytime Touchdown
- +$3.61at 0.500Cowboys vs. Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:56 | Sao Paulo Open: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Astra Sharma | BUY | 0.28 | $5.63 |
| 09-16 01:26 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | SELL | 0.13 | $7.28 |
| 09-14 20:10 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.5499999958 | $19.65 |
| 09-13 23:27 | George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.08 | $2.39 |
| 09-13 12:01 | Makai Lemon: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.1799999941 | $1.83 |
| 09-13 11:53 | Odell Beckham Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.1099999948 | $1.89 |
| 09-13 11:51 | Kirk Cousins: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.0568006988 | $2.85 |
| 09-12 23:24 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.5499999159 | $2.29 |
| 09-12 21:23 | Alabama vs. Kentucky | BUY | 0.4 | $3.90 |
| 09-12 17:41 | Spread: Kansas State (-17.5) | SELL | 0.47 | $1.80 |
| 09-12 03:19 | Spread: Missouri (-4.5) | SELL | 0.7 | $2.74 |