PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Rickz88

0x671b2a8b682a88f9d2c05076f51534486aa29a07

Realised P&L
$-27.7k
Volume
$2.84M
Markets traded
404
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded404
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7000.725$2.1k+$72.12
Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.9500.955$100.53+$0.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.9280.925$99.66−$0.34
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.8250.000$0.00−$29.78
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? · Yes0.9650.000$0.00−$2.9k
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 00:53Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.9281668698$100.00
10-01 00:49Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.95$100.00
09-29 03:05Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 28?BUY0.997$2.0k
09-29 03:04Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 28?BUY0.996$14.94
09-21 01:01Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.76$1.2k
09-21 01:00Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.3788705656$589.52
09-15 06:15Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.7078112429$1.5k
09-01 02:06Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?SELL0.999$154.84
08-29 13:51Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?BUY0.993$153.91
08-29 03:40Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5799601911$728.43
07-22 12:24Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?SELL0.6097570596$1.3k
07-22 03:40Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?BUY0.994$333.59
07-21 16:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.999$249.25
07-21 16:08Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?BUY0.994$39.76
07-21 16:08Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?BUY0.994$139.16