Rickz88
0x671b2a8b682a88f9d2c05076f51534486aa29a07
- Realised P&L
- $-27.7k
- Volume
- $2.84M
- Markets traded
- 404
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded404
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.796Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.888Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$2.4kat 0.883Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$2.1kat 0.851Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$1.8kat 0.906Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.9281668698 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 00:49 | Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 03:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.0k |
| 09-29 03:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.94 |
| 09-21 01:01 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.2k |
| 09-21 01:00 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3788705656 | $589.52 |
| 09-15 06:15 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7078112429 | $1.5k |
| 09-01 02:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | SELL | 0.999 | $154.84 |
| 08-29 13:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | BUY | 0.993 | $153.91 |
| 08-29 03:40 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5799601911 | $728.43 |
| 07-22 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.6097570596 | $1.3k |
| 07-22 03:40 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $333.59 |
| 07-21 16:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $249.25 |
| 07-21 16:08 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $39.76 |
| 07-21 16:08 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $139.16 |