freesky12
0x6717bcc64d34e47bce81ccf884021aefac101149
- Realised P&L
- $-275.70
- Volume
- $55.2k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $48.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.990 | 0.992 | $20.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $13.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.988 | 0.996 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 7? · No | 0.993 | 0.978 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.960 | $2.69 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.54at 0.430Knicks vs. Heat
- +$1.08at 0.963Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on June 9?
- +$1.07at 0.560Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.06at 0.963Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$0.82at 0.750Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.992999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 08:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999572 | $2.70 |
| 10-06 08:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.00 |
| 10-06 08:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 03:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9959998887 | $6.80 |
| 09-20 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 03:15 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 07-26 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 03:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9919999697 | $11.00 |
| 07-05 03:00 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9939998834 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.9939999667 | $12.00 |
| 06-25 09:11 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.984 | $6.00 |