PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x67174CA0008F160A572DF3Fe4567C383ebF70FF9-1772622842420

0x67174ca0008f160a572df3fe4567c383ebf70ff9

Realised P&L
$3.17
Volume
$441.17
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$35.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8700.865$9.94$0.06
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4170.375$8.99$1.01
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7500.979$6.52+$1.52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.9400.962$5.11+$0.11
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7900.725$4.59$0.41
Monaco vs. Paris Basketball · Monaco0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? · No0.7950.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 09:14Will France pass a national budget by December 31?SELL0.66$5.50
07-07 12:26 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?SELL0.982$1.39
06-19 20:34 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.7$1.00
06-19 20:32Monaco vs. Paris BasketballBUY0.64$1.00
05-10 15:59Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8699999678$10.00
05-10 15:59Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7899999826$5.00
05-10 15:59Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9399999662$5.00
05-10 15:57Will France pass a national budget by December 31?BUY0.599999976$5.00
04-27 07:37Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
04-27 07:36Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?BUY0.8699998695$4.94
04-27 07:35Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?BUY0.9259999922$4.96
04-09 05:49Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?SELL0.99$4.49
04-09 05:48Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.8970000014$5.00
04-09 05:48Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?SELL0.997$11.08
04-07 06:02Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.88$4.00