0x670BD4dB5b5A1Cd8dDc5d3C57a77df880c36C31F-1758139622381
0x670bd4db5b5a1cd8ddc5d3c57a77df880c36c31f
- Realised P&L
- $-17.58
- Volume
- $87.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.517 | 0.595 | $1.1k | +$140.19 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.545 | $490.50 | +$4.70 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.463 | 0.405 | $271.75 | −$39.12 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.844 | 0.836 | $125.33 | −$1.27 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.60at 0.500Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
- +$217.05at 0.689Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$183.00at 0.542Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$169.99at 0.270US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$162.74at 0.146Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 21:36 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $39.21 |
| 08-27 18:45 | Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $295.41 |
| 04-24 21:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $53.28 |
| 04-24 21:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.51 | $56.61 |
| 04-20 20:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.52 | $119.60 |
| 04-20 20:23 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.54 | $216.00 |
| 04-20 20:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.46 | $257.60 |
| 04-20 20:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.52 | $291.20 |
| 04-20 20:21 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.934 | $280.20 |
| 04-19 13:59 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 04-15 17:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.20 |
| 04-15 17:07 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 04-14 12:52 | Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 12:48 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.935 | $280.50 |
| 04-13 10:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.54 | $189.00 |