0x670969BD501bB5765039CEbbf4525089152dA407-1773431221163
0x670969bd501bb5765039cebbf4525089152da407
- Realised P&L
- $-1.04
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $20.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $20.89 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.25at 0.978Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 07-06 07:21 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.06 |
| 06-29 07:12 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.08 |
| 06-22 06:38 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.24 |
| 05-15 08:16 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.60 |
| 05-11 04:10 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.36 |
| 04-30 08:13 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.40 |
| 04-15 07:01 | Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.70 |
| 04-11 05:33 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $9.79 |
| 04-09 08:55 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $9.24 |
| 04-02 08:20 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.59 |
| 03-17 07:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $616.49 |