alex1-108
0x670571aad6413b84fd6dcb48728e2e839670262b
- Realised P&L
- $37.74
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $265.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.90at 0.620Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$109.23at 0.475Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?
- +$44.12at 0.358Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$12.28at 0.071Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$11.99at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:52 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 10-10 14:24 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 10-07 17:18 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.34 |
| 10-05 06:48 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.552 | $11.04 |
| 10-04 13:57 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 10-04 13:55 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $26.80 |
| 10-04 13:54 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 10-04 08:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 08:15 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-29 20:28 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 09-29 19:05 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.120538 | $6.03 |
| 09-26 09:15 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.20 |
| 09-26 09:14 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.20 |
| 09-25 22:57 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.72 | $86.39 |