Marianax
0x670555fa08040c7fe8b0f599e382b40370d8234a
- Realised P&L
- $-142.38
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,146
- Open portfolio
- $21.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,146
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.15at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?
- +$17.89at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?
- +$16.16at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?
- +$14.73at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 29?
- +$10.69at 0.455Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.48 |
| 09-28 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.37 |
| 09-28 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.77 |
| 09-28 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.25 |
| 09-28 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:38 | Czechia vs. England: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.63 |