PolyBot

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Traders

Marianax

0x670555fa08040c7fe8b0f599e382b40370d8234a

Realised P&L
$-142.38
Volume
$27.2k
Markets traded
2,146
Open portfolio
$21.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,146
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 16:51Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 29?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-28 15:31Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 28?SELL0.994$1.48
09-28 12:51Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-28 12:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?SELL0.99$1.37
09-28 08:52Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 29?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-28 08:52Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-28 08:51Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?SELL0.27$0.77
09-28 07:43Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?SELL0.98$1.25
09-28 07:43Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-28 07:38Czechia vs. England: O/U 3.5BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-28 07:36Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
09-28 07:35Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-28 07:32Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 29?BUY0.8$1.00
09-28 07:30Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-28 06:13Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 28?SELL0.13$1.63