Tmagic23
0x67041592a7806567d16d5b8c3d3d885d974eeb81
- Realised P&L
- $-365.51
- Volume
- $142.4k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $502.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.01at 0.387Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$230.79at 0.479Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$227.39at 0.513Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
- +$221.82at 0.392Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$196.00at 0.510Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:04 | Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.012 | $4.95 |
| 09-14 17:03 | Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.97 |
| 09-14 17:03 | Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.68 |
| 09-14 17:03 | Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 17:02 | Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.26 |
| 09-14 02:34 | Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 08-06 18:23 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.019 | $6.16 |
| 08-06 18:18 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.018 | $20.56 |
| 08-06 18:12 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.017 | $69.78 |
| 07-19 21:58 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9325 | $314.77 |
| 07-19 16:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 16:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 19:27 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5374999992 | $150.00 |
| 07-14 18:59 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5549999956 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 18:59 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3674999974 | $50.00 |