PolyBot

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Traders

Tmagic23

0x67041592a7806567d16d5b8c3d3d885d974eeb81

Realised P&L
$-365.51
Volume
$142.4k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$502.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.015$395.76$69.49
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) · Michigan State0.5400.505$50.50$3.50
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.0040.004$23.77+$2.65
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.0060.022$11.23+$8.24
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.0120.021$8.46+$3.51
Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.0070.017$6.99+$4.03
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.0040.004$5.63+$0.63
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.1950.000$0.00$449.39
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$60.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2390.000$0.00$375.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5550.000$0.00$50.00
Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5 · Over0.1500.000$0.00$14.62
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 · Over0.3500.000$0.00$50.00
Penguins vs. Senators · Penguins0.1310.000$0.00$247.00
Oilers vs. Wild · Oilers0.2900.000$0.00$116.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 17:04Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.012$4.95
09-14 17:03Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.007$2.97
09-14 17:03Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.004$4.68
09-14 17:03Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.006$3.00
09-14 17:02Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.004$20.26
09-14 02:34Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)BUY0.54$54.00
08-06 18:23Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.019$6.16
08-06 18:18Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.018$20.56
08-06 18:12Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.017$69.78
07-19 21:58Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9325$314.77
07-19 16:01Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5BUY0.4$100.00
07-19 16:01Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5924999999$200.00
07-15 19:27England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5374999992$150.00
07-14 18:59France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5549999956$50.00
07-14 18:59Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3674999974$50.00