PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tmagic23

0x67041592a7806567d16d5b8c3d3d885d974eeb81

Realised P&L
$-678.99
Volume
$229.9k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$614.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.013$319.16−$146.08
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes0.1900.155$155.00−$35.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? · Yes0.1000.070$140.00−$60.00
Pistons vs. Knicks · Pistons0.2580.000$0.00−$100.00
76ers vs. Knicks · Knicks0.6300.000$0.00−$126.00
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$39.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 01:44Pistons vs. KnicksBUY0.1899999998$50.00
10-28 00:04Pistons vs. KnicksBUY0.4$50.00
10-19 13:39Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?BUY0.001$20.00
10-17 21:19Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?BUY0.19$190.00
10-17 21:15Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?BUY0.1$90.08
10-17 17:0576ers vs. KnicksBUY0.63$126.00
10-04 19:11Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.004$9.54
10-04 19:09Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.004$39.41
10-04 19:05Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.004$27.39
10-04 19:03Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.004$40.00
09-14 17:04Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.012$4.95
09-14 17:03Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.007$2.97
09-14 17:03Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.004$4.68
09-14 17:03Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.006$3.00
09-14 17:02Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.004$20.26