PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

affen

0x670207a99eab046e5b4ab56bc13f1c804c680051

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$322.3k
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$6.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7300.922$5.2k+$1.1k
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1870.849$479.40+$373.75
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers · Southern Super Stars0.1700.495$343.53+$225.55
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.2600.200$91.60$27.48
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.151$85.60$343.78
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.085$23.20$77.81
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.075$6.30$6.30
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? · No0.5700.700$0.70+$0.13
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 11:30Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.19$106.40
04-23 08:13Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?BUY0.899$598.73
04-21 10:19Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.256$6.40
04-21 03:29Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.73$337.99
04-21 03:06Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?SELL0.961$953.31
04-21 02:54Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?SELL0.59$468.46
04-13 16:19Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?SELL0.23$231.38
04-13 16:13Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.8$352.00
04-13 16:12Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.8$341.60
04-13 16:08Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026SELL0.76$113.24
04-13 16:07Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026SELL0.76$731.88
04-13 11:49Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5BUY0.89$509.08
04-13 11:10Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?BUY0.33$331.98
04-13 10:52Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.83$719.61
04-13 10:16Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?SELL0.27$157.14