PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Spoder0

0x66ff081fd6a4ad80b080ed675bfcd9c7f1542ccd

Realised P&L
$52.03
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$18.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1800.635$17.64+$12.64
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6900.655$0.95−$0.05
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1900.002$0.02−$1.98
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$2.00
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1AM ET · Up0.0750.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12PM ET · Down0.0890.000$0.00−$5.10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.0430.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:40Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-24 23:37Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
08-20 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
08-20 19:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
08-20 19:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.06$3.00
08-16 05:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1AM ETBUY0.0299999857$2.00
08-16 05:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1AM ETBUY0.1899999726$5.00
07-31 16:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12PM ETBUY0.1099999685$3.00
06-19 18:21Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.117$2.02
06-19 18:20Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.073$2.03
06-19 18:20Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.136$1.75
06-19 18:20Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.128$1.92
06-19 18:19Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.016$1.78
06-19 18:19Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.066$1.52
06-19 18:14Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.058$2.11