PolyBot

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Traders

DonnaStvenson

0x66f5fd487f900e6bbc1695b5f94d5b1c506b9b72

Realised P&L
$-106.41
Volume
$33.6k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$106.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 October 26-November 1? · No0.9990.995$106.57−$0.43
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs · 9INE0.3600.000$0.00−$1.85
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage · Lavked0.3000.000$0.00−$2.00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill · Alex Molcan0.7700.000$0.00−$4.60
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.2900.000$0.00−$4.00
Francavilla: August Holmgren vs Guy Den Ouden · Guy Den Ouden0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$3.80
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox0.4480.000$0.00−$2.65
Blues vs. Predators · Blues0.4300.000$0.00−$10.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.75
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Luleaa · Luleaa0.3370.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.85
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:38Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 October 26-November 1?BUY0.999$107.00
09-21 16:07Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $216 in September?BUY0.9963229715$25.00
08-28 08:00Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.996069092$107.00
07-17 07:33Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of July 13 2026?BUY0.999$107.00
07-17 06:56Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.2899999579$4.00
06-27 11:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?BUY0.998999992$111.00
06-26 07:01Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $325?BUY0.9983137687$111.00
05-31 05:31Will BNB dip to $600 in May?BUY0.9989999849$62.00
05-31 05:27Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY0.999$10.50
05-30 04:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?BUY0.9989999896$88.00
05-30 04:08Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 31?BUY0.999$10.88
05-28 08:01US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?BUY0.998$98.00
05-28 07:52Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?BUY0.995$11.98
05-28 07:45Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsBUY0.64$5.00
05-27 07:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?BUY0.999$106.00